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Made a similar post meself re poll oscillations last week but then it was only 4% lead. As a chemical engineer who used to deal with industrial control systems I am starting to get the feeling that this is like a poorly tuned control system that is oscillating increasingly wildly. Give it a few weeks and polls will be swinging from +100% to -100%. We will get either a commons that is entirely Tory or entirely Labour.
Made a similar post meself re poll oscillations last week but then it was only 4% lead. As a chemical engineer who used to deal with industrial control systems I am starting to get the feeling that this is like a poorly tuned control system that is oscillating increasingly wildly. Give it a few weeks and polls will be swinging from +100% to -100%. We will get either a commons that is entirely Tory or entirely Labour.
Bring on the toffs!
Let us not forget EU open doors immigration benefits IT contractors more than anyone
Made a similar post meself re poll oscillations last week but then it was only 4% lead. As a chemical engineer who used to deal with industrial control systems I am starting to get the feeling that this is like a poorly tuned control system that is oscillating increasingly wildly. Give it a few weeks and polls will be swinging from +100% to -100%. We will get either a commons that is entirely Tory or entirely Labour.
I'm sure Euler can explain exactly how much variance we can expect between polls without it actually meaning anything.
I'm sure Euler can explain exactly how much variance we can expect between polls without it actually meaning anything.
It's not a trivial task to create a poll-aggregation model like Nate Silver who predicted Obama's win - would probably take months.
Interetsing project i agree ...
Are you a loser?
Didn't do too well at school?
Can't make it in the most dynamic economy in Europe?
No good with women?
It's not a trivial task to create a poll-aggregation model like Nate Silver who predicted Obama's win - would probably take months.
Interetsing project i agree ...
Almost certainly an errant poll. Remember that sampling variability may be represented in terms of a certain expectation w/r to a level of confidence, but an individual poll can fall outside this expectation and still not represent an actual shift. IIRC there was a poll showing a 6 point lead for Labour a few days ago.
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