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Brexiters prepare lube

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    Brexiters prepare lube

    Pound Drops as New Brexit Poll Shows ‘Leave’ Camp Taking Lead - Bloomberg

    Storm is coming for your arseholes

    #2
    Originally posted by diseasex View Post
    I just need to get the timing right for my next booze run to Sainsbury's, Newry.

    Comment


      #3
      Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
      I just need to get the timing right for my next booze run to Sainsbury's, Newry.
      that booze better not be foreign

      Comment


        #4
        Certainly an air of shift in the recent polls (although we all know after GE2015 they could mean jack) .. 300k net EU immigration figures + abandoned dinghies on Kent beaches probably haven't helped ..

        Stay % Leave % Undecided % Date Pollster Sample
        44 47 9 May 30, 2016 ICM 2,052
        42 45 13 May 29, 2016 ICM 1,004
        51 42 7 May 29, 2016 ORB 800
        44 45 12 May 25, 2016 BMG Research 1,638
        41 41 17 May 24, 2016 YouGov 1,500
        44 38 18 May 24, 2016 Survation 1,013
        45 45 10 May 22, 2016 ICM 2,003
        58 38 4 May 22, 2016 ORB 800
        44 40 16 May 19, 2016 Opinium 2,008
        52 41 7 May 19, 2016 ComRes 1,000
        44 40 12 May 17, 2016 YouGov 1,648
        48 35 14 May 16, 2016 Ipsos MORI 1,002
        47 39 14 May 15, 2016 ICM 1,002
        43 47 10 May 15, 2016 ICM 2,048

        Comment


          #5
          Thank the Lord!

          I've got nearly £1m (leveraged) on a massive Pound short position. Was starting to sheet myself....

          Private island here I come!

          Comment


            #6
            Meh. Fine by me, I mainly export. The Pound will find an appropriate level. Bear in mind, Cable is down 15% from the July 2014 high anyway, and 30% down from the pre-crash peak. Even if there's a Bremain, the Pound is likely to decline in the medium-term, following an initial spike up. Currencies move. Nothing to see here, unless you're "economically illiterate"

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by DimPrawn View Post
              Thank the Lord!

              I've got nearly £1m (leveraged) on a massive Pound short position. Was starting to sheet myself....

              Private island here I come!

              I hope. Otherwise

              Comment


                #8
                Originally posted by SunnyInHades View Post
                Certainly an air of shift in the recent polls (although we all know after GE2015 they could mean jack) .. 300k net EU immigration figures + abandoned dinghies on Kent beaches probably haven't helped ..

                Stay % Leave % Undecided % Date Pollster Sample
                44 47 9 May 30, 2016 ICM 2,052
                42 45 13 May 29, 2016 ICM 1,004
                51 42 7 May 29, 2016 ORB 800
                44 45 12 May 25, 2016 BMG Research 1,638
                41 41 17 May 24, 2016 YouGov 1,500
                44 38 18 May 24, 2016 Survation 1,013
                45 45 10 May 22, 2016 ICM 2,003
                58 38 4 May 22, 2016 ORB 800
                44 40 16 May 19, 2016 Opinium 2,008
                52 41 7 May 19, 2016 ComRes 1,000
                44 40 12 May 17, 2016 YouGov 1,648
                48 35 14 May 16, 2016 Ipsos MORI 1,002
                47 39 14 May 15, 2016 ICM 1,002
                43 47 10 May 15, 2016 ICM 2,048
                The only thing that's vaguely interesting is that one of the recent ICM polls was a phone poll, so I imagine that did it (along with the shift in the ORB poll, but that last one looked pretty illusory anyway). I wonder if ICM were correcting for the educational bias in phone polls identified by YouGov recently. One of the major problems with phone polls is that the response rate is now down to something like 10-15%, so there's an inbuilt sampling bias there, much like the online polls (which are self-selecting to some degree).

                Anyway, it's laughable how these pundits interpret a shift within the margin of error. You'd have thought they'd learned their lesson, but they have feck all else to write about.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by diseasex View Post
                  The UK will need tanker loads of KY if Remain win, because shortly after that the EU will start riding us like Red Rum in the Grand National.
                  Work in the public sector? Read the IR35 FAQ here

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by jamesbrown View Post
                    The only thing that's vaguely interesting is that one of the recent ICM polls was a phone poll, so I imagine that did it (along with the shift in the ORB poll, but that last one looked pretty illusory anyway). I wonder if ICM were correcting for the educational bias in phone polls identified by YouGov recently. One of the major problems with phone polls is that the response rate is now down to something like 10-15%, so there's an inbuilt sampling bias there, much like the online polls (which are self-selecting to some degree).

                    Anyway, it's laughable how these pundits interpret a shift within the margin of error. You'd have thought they'd learned their lesson, but they have feck all else to write about.
                    That will be the Wetherspoons effect.

                    https://www.theguardian.com/business...referendum-imf

                    On Tuesday, it emerged that pub chain JD Wetherspoon has printed 200,000 beer mats bearing what the company’s boss says is a hard-hitting message arguing for the UK to leave the EU.
                    Natural haunt of the native Brexiter.
                    "Being nice costs nothing and sometimes gets you extra bacon" - Pondlife.

                    Comment

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