Having a punt on Article 50

[darmstadt]

Go on: BREXIT BETTING: Bookmakers say it's likely Article 50 might never be triggered - Business Insider Deutschland

Here are Sky Bet's current odds on when Article 50 will be triggered:

2018 or later or not at all —2/1
January 1 to March 31 2017—2/1
April 1 to June 30 2017—5/2
October 1 to December 31 2016 —7/1
July 1 to September 30 2017— 8/1
October 1 to December 31 2017— 10/1
July 1 to September 20 2016— 20/1

Get in there...

[AtW]

There will be a notice period during which Article 50 might be triggered...

[shaunbhoy]

Maybe we should have a punt on either of you dreary twunts ever getting a life?

[DimPrawn]

Maybe we should have a punt on either of you dreary twunts ever getting a life?

Not at those odds.

[darmstadt]

Maybe we should have a punt on either of you dreary twunts ever getting a life?

Not at those odds.

Maybe we should have a punt on if the testicles of the two of you have dropped yet?

[eek]

I make a decent bit betting on politics, I would y touch those odds - far too many unknowns

[BrilloPad]

Article 50 was never supposed to be used, says the man who wrote it

[tomtomagain]

My theory .... based on nothing, so it's not a "theory" but wild speculation.

Is that they'll never invoke Article 50 because the large legal team currently employed by HM Government will find some legal loop-holes that allow the UK to exit the EU without invoking it.

I don't see why they would bother with A50. It hands the initiative to the EU and then puts them in charge of the timescales. So why would you bother? There's more detail in a contract for a mobile phone than in Article 50. And as the author of the clause himself said : It's not designed to be used and it's not tested.

Why not simply pass a new migration law, repeal a bunch of EU laws and then stop paying into the EU budget? It's not like the EU has an army and is going to invade us.

[Mordac]

My theory .... based on nothing, so it's not a "theory" but wild speculation.

Is that they'll never invoke Article 50 because the large legal team currently employed by HM Government will find some legal loop-holes that allow the UK to exit the EU without invoking it.

I don't see why they would bother with A50. It hands the initiative to the EU and then puts them in charge of the timescales. So why would you bother? There's more detail in a contract for a mobile phone than in Article 50. And as the author of the clause himself said : It's not designed to be used and it's not tested.

Why not simply pass a new migration law, repeal a bunch of EU laws and then stop paying into the EU budget? It's not like the EU has an army and is going to invade us.

Bloody good points, and well made. The "up yours Delors" salute, with knobs on...

[Old Greg]

My theory .... based on nothing, so it's not a "theory" but wild speculation.

Is that they'll never invoke Article 50 because the large legal team currently employed by HM Government will find some legal loop-holes that allow the UK to exit the EU without invoking it.

I don't see why they would bother with A50. It hands the initiative to the EU and then puts them in charge of the timescales. So why would you bother? There's more detail in a contract for a mobile phone than in Article 50. And as the author of the clause himself said : It's not designed to be used and it's not tested.

Why not simply pass a new migration law, repeal a bunch of EU laws and then stop paying into the EU budget? It's not like the EU has an army and is going to invade us.

Yes, there is no need under UK law to invoke Article 50 in order to exit the EU. But Article 50 gives a framework for negotiation in advance of the EU. But if the UK favours Hard Brexit (don't Google this unless you're into Farage scat porn), then an Act of Parliament is sufficient.