The official "guess GDP change in Q1 2011" thread

[AtW]

You can guess only one, posts from sockies will be ignored.

Rules: whoever closest to first official figure due to be announced in April 2011 wins.

I start: GDP in Q1 2011 will drop by 0.2%.

[ThomasSoerensen]

-0.9%

[AtW]

-0.9%

[doodab]

-0.7%

[Mich the Tester]

It will change a little bit.

[MrRobin]

Oh go on then... someone has to provide some optimism.

+0.2%

[Doggy Styles]

-0.4%

Nudged up from last quarter by sales of Will and Kate memorabilia.

[gingerjedi]

-20%

Civil unrest, bread queues and curfew.

[DimPrawn]

Who cares?

Sorry darling, no Moulard duck foie gras with pickled pear and 1999 Château Haut Bernasse Montbazillac tonight dear, GDP has fallen 0.2%.

[Freamon]

+0.1%, just enough to avoid a technical recession, artificially supported by the extra demand that was delayed in December due to the snow.

I also suspect the Q4 10 GDP will be revised up to -0.4% or -0.3%.