Arctic Ice to disappear this year

[BlasterBates]

Just a reminder of the prediction that the arctic ice will disappear this year.

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013'

[Troll]

[sasguru]

Just a reminder of the prediction that the arctic ice will disappear this year.

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013'

Looks like they are right about the trend, but out by a few years.
Quite a good forecast I'd say.

[pjclarke]

Well, that was Maslowski in 2007, at the extremely pessimistic end of the spectrum of predictions, his more recent thinking is

Given the estimated trend and the volume estimate for October–November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3 (Kwok et al. 2009), one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer. Regardless of high uncertainty associated with such an estimate, it does provide a lower bound of the time range for projections of seasonal sea ice cover.

Fortunately the rapid drop in 2007 proved to be anomalous, and most models now predict an ice free arctic rather later than this year,when the volume line intersects zero...



If you're not at all concerned by that chart, well, good luck to you.

[Doggy Styles]

1959

[DodgyAgent]

Well, that was Maslowski in 2007, at the extremely pessimistic end of the spectrum of predictions, his more recent thinking is



Fortunately the rapid drop in 2007 proved to be anomalous, and most models now predict an ice free arctic rather later than this year,when the volume line intersects zero...



If you're not at all concerned by that chart, well, good luck to you.

How much thinking does he need?

[OwlHoot]

and it can't be repeated often enough, because one or two people round here are invincibly and obstinately dense (unlike polar ice), that melting ice can obviously make the local climate colder, the more so the faster the ice melts.

[EternalOptimist]

How much thinking does he need?

My most recent thinking is that Auroras Encore will win the Grand National in 2013