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And this is what winds me up about customer services....
Lady at WH was happy to apply the promotion as "a gesture of goodwill" but insisted I hadn't entered the code. I knew I had. I'd also had an error message about the username I'd picked being unavailable. My suspicion was that, on display of the error, the promotion code had not been persisted.
So I fire up a new browser and repeat the process, sending screenshots with the code highlighted before submission, and the code lost after submitting with an error and explain that they have a bug on the website, and that I hope this information on reproducing it will help them resolve it.
The email I get back tells me that the promotion had already been applied as a gesture of goodwill etc - nothing acknowledging the bug, or telling me they'll pass it to their technical team.
Pollsters have admitted they are applying adjustments to raw poll figures that are just guesswork without precedent. Bookies are rarely wrong.
Bookies balance their books, with lots of large bets from London/England for no they have to lower the odds. However in Scotland 75% have bet Yes but much less money, but who gets to vote?
Bookies balance their books, with lots of large bets from London/England for no they have to lower the odds. However in Scotland 75% have bet Yes but much less money, but who gets to vote?
Voting Yes is not an indication that you believe the vote will be Yes. It is an indication that you believe a Yes vote is more likely than the odds being offered. As indeed it is - because of covering positions. But not that much more likely.
Bookies rarely lose money in serious amounts, because they keep tweaking the odds to try and ensure their potential loss is within sensible limits. The current odds reflect a combination of what people are voting now, AND what people have already voted.
As mentioned, most of the people voting might not even be voters. And even if they were, it's unreliable. Most YES voters might be pessimistic and be betting no... pessimism in Scots would not be that unusual.
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