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stock market crash

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    clucking bell
    "Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark Twain

    Comment


      Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
      Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
      Why? General is full of bankers

      Comment


        Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
        Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
        Bye

        Close the door on the way out
        I am what I drink, and I'm a bitter man

        Comment


          Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
          Think I need to find the investment banker forum...
          I guess they must also enjoy mocking cretins.

          Comment


            Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
            That's right, my leverage short is about 5% or $xxxk, now.. it was $xxk yesterday
            5% is a reasonable position size.

            Although, how can the 3x short have gone up 10-fold when BTC isn't much lower than it was on the 25th June when you opened the position?

            Bitcoincharts | Charts
            Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.

            Comment


              Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
              ha ha - no, there's no 'I think' full stop. Everything is in probability. I measure probability and trade that. My postgrad and career to date were all about measuring probability. I've just changed what I'm adding up.

              Since my course I've yet to enter a trade that resulted in a loss. I know it sounds crazy, but it's the truth. Here's is a chart where I measured the probability most recently of further downside back in April. It is public record, I cannot change it, remove it. At this moment I'm up almost 350%

              I'll be adding this one to my list soon, my best yet, I think..omg I used that word!
              Words fail me. Your ego is refusing you let you believe you are not infallible.

              But, it looks like you've not long graduated (unless you've not had a loss for decades since your "course") so immaturity, naivety and that sometimes dangerous youthful sense of invincibility are probably in the mix too.

              You still haven't answered the core question: why stay invested in stocks if your "probability" indicates that you'd get better returns elsewhere? And if you "probability" doesn't not tell you that, why aren't you averaging-down in those stocks rather than invest elsewhere?
              Last edited by Paralytic; 30 June 2020, 06:55.

              Comment


                If you only ever sell winners, and hold on to losers...

                ...eventually you'll end up with a portfolio of losers.
                Scoots still says that Apr 2020 didn't mark the start of a new stock bull market.

                Comment


                  Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post
                  If you only ever sell winners, and hold on to losers...

                  ...eventually you'll end up with a portfolio of losers.
                  They won't be losers if he doesn't sell them. Apparently.

                  Comment


                    Originally posted by Old Greg View Post
                    They won't be losers if he doesn't sell them. Apparently.
                    They're 'long term investments' in junk.
                    Make Mercia Great Again!

                    Comment


                      Originally posted by DealorNoDeal View Post
                      5% is a reasonable position size.

                      Although, how can the 3x short have gone up 10-fold when BTC isn't much lower than it was on the 25th June when you opened the position?

                      Bitcoincharts | Charts

                      10 fold?
                      "Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark Twain

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