Labour tax manifesto

[malvolio]

Can you demonstrate the validity of that assertion?

Not to an idiot, I can't.

[malvolio]

Unfortunately it doesn't mean "break out the nooses" or I'd be agreeing with you OG.

Nah. That would be a hanged Parliament.

[BlasterBates]

The slow inexorable rise of Labour, apart from the Brexit capitulation blip is becoming increasingly apparent.

Labour now up to 34% in the latest poll. The manifesto promises are going great guns.

Labour close the gap to 7 points

Be afraid, and hide your wealth.

[malvolio]

The slow inexorable rise of Labour, apart from the Brexit capitulation blip is becoming increasingly apparent.

Labour now up to 34% in the latest poll. The manifesto promises are going great guns.

Labour close the gap to 7 points

Be afraid, and hide your wealth.

I suggest you look at the trend lines of one of the various Poll of Polls analyses. While Labour is going up, so are the Tories, rather more steeply, and both are doing so at the expense of the minor parties. The gap between the lowest Tory poll and the highest Labour one is still around 7%. More importantly (according to the pollsters, so treat that with a large dose of scepticism) the Tories are above the 43% they need to get a majority.

I still believe we're looking at a small Tory majority at the end of the day, hopefully enough to kill off SNP's fantasies of being the kingmakers. But as we saw last time, nothing is known until the results are known

[mudskipper]

Bill Esterson on Twitter: "Correct… "

Labour will not roll out the IR35 changes to the private sector in April 2020 if they are in power.

[adubya]

Bill Esterson on Twitter: "Correct… "

Labour will not roll out the IR35 changes to the private sector in April 2020 if they are in power

A little tweak.

Anyway, with corp tax likely to rocket and dividend 7.5% rate scrapped then does any IR35 suspension matter ?

[mudskipper]

A little tweak.

Anyway, with corp tax likely to rocket and dividend 7.5% rate scrapped then does any IR35 suspension matter ?

Yes, in April 2020.

[BlasterBates]

I suggest you look at the trend lines of one of the various Poll of Polls analyses. While Labour is going up, so are the Tories, rather more steeply, and both are doing so at the expense of the minor parties. The gap between the lowest Tory poll and the highest Labour one is still around 7%. More importantly (according to the pollsters, so treat that with a large dose of scepticism) the Tories are above the 43% they need to get a majority.

I still believe we're looking at a small Tory majority at the end of the day, hopefully enough to kill off SNP's fantasies of being the kingmakers. But as we saw last time, nothing is known until the results are known

If you compare the results from the pollsters comparing like with like i.e. the same organisation polling around 2 weeks ago with their results now, most of them say the same thing, Labour are closing the gap. The don't knows are coming off the fence.

[Old Greg]

If you compare the results from the pollsters comparing like with like i.e. the same organisation polling around 2 weeks ago with their results now, most of them say the same thing, Labour are closing the gap. The don't knows are coming off the fence.

Tories are consistently > 40%. Unless some very odd things happen repeatedly at a local level, they get a majority.

[DealorNoDeal]

Tories are consistently > 40%. Unless some very odd things happen repeatedly at a local level, they get a majority.

I've resigned myself to waking up on Fri 13th with that.

Such a missed opportunity by Labour not having an electable leader.