Coronovirus - the truth?

[DodgyAccountant]

More or Less: Behind the Stats
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter - Cambridge

More or Less: Behind the Stats - The Risk - BBC Sounds

Summary

death profile follows that normally seen - fewer young people / more old men
virus is more transmittable and more damaging than normal flu
deaths would have happened in next year or so without CV19 - brought forward by the virus so would overwhelm NHS if no action had been taken
Imperial College study numbers are probably correct

[ladymuck]

[GhostofTarbera]

We will hit the 1000 per day dead tomorrow 8000 a day on Easter Friday


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[DodgyAccountant]

We will hit the 1000 per day dead tomorrow 8000 a day on Easter Friday

Hi GoT

That would mean doubling every 2 days or so - I hope not.

684 last 24 hours (Telegraph) - I hope < 1200 - will come back to thread in a week's time and we'll see who's nearest.

Best regards

DA

[AtW]

We will hit the 1000 per day dead tomorrow 8000 a day on Easter Friday

That definately won't happen - there is no testing capacity to validate so many death as Covid-19.

[woohoo]

That definately won't happen - there is no testing capacity to validate so many death as Covid-19.

Very true.

[Old Greg]

More or Less: Behind the Stats
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter - Cambridge

More or Less: Behind the Stats - The Risk - BBC Sounds

Summary

death profile follows that normally seen - fewer young people / more old men
virus is more transmittable and more damaging than normal flu
deaths would have happened in next year or so without CV19 - brought forward by the virus so would overwhelm NHS if no action had been taken
Imperial College study numbers are probably correct

ICU bed demand is the critical 'thing', not deaths.

[xoggoth]

Seems to be a plus side for CUK.

Most users ever online was 10,463, Yesterday at 02:15

[BrilloPad]

Seems to be a plus side for CUK.

tpd has been going very well!

Another plus side, is there has been almost nothing on the Labour leadership contest in the media. Or Br*****.

[ladymuck]

tpd has been going very well!

Another plus side, is there has been almost nothing on the Labour leadership contest in the media. Or Br*****.

Kier Stamer won