An economic crash in the UK is inevitable An economic crash in the UK is inevitable
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  1. #1

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    Default An economic crash in the UK is inevitable

    I was just looking at an article on Motley Fool, and it doesn't make happy reading. It shows how the chancellor's "economic miracle" has been nothing more than one long borrowing binge. People are increasing their debt just to stand still, which is clearly unsustainable. What about this:
    • Our non-mortgage debt is increasing by 11% per year (from £80 billion in 1997 to 190 billion today).
    • Our mortgage debt is increasing by 12.7% a year (from £827 billion in 2004 to £932 billion today).
    • Non-mortgage housing expenses (particularly council tax) are increasing by 6% a year.
    • Our wages haven't increased by anything like these amounts - we are spending 10% more than we earn.
    • UK growth is going down, so the Chancellor must raise taxes somehow.
    • Unemployment has now risen for the seventh month in a row.
    • We are not saving nearly enough for a rainy day or for retirement. We are miles short and can never make it up. 55% of working age adults have no pension.

    On top of this, the UK is increasing its debt due to an increasing balance of trade deficit. Thank you New Labour.

    I cannot see how this lot can be put right in a controlled way. I think a painful crash is inevitable.

  2. #2

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    Francko is too good to be a permie

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    We are doomed, doooommmeeeeed.....

  3. #3

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    I guess its time for another happy poem


    The Happy Poem By Jason Davis


    Butterfly ribbons and ice cream delight
    Money everywhere falling from the sky
    Everything wrong has been made right
    Now we have clean burning fuel and even space flight

    Mystical lands once far away
    Now in our backyard for us to go play
    Magical stars show us the way
    Light years we travel but we make it okay

    Brilliant colors fill the air
    Look now I have all my hair
    Everything I ever lost
    Is now setting in this giant pot

    Love and Joy fills the room
    Look I just found a magic broom
    I soar high above the clouds
    Right beside me are all my pals

    Everything in the world is right
    All the blind now have their sight
    All the people sing in joy
    In perfect harmony for all to enjoy

  4. #4

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    Don't worry, the government is going to start pumping public money into the housing market via shared equity deals. Before you know it house price increases will be whizzing along at 25% pa again and the great unwashed can keep their borrowing binge going quite nicely.

  5. #5

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    Default Economic Crash

    I read that article,

    While I was reading it I was spammed by the Motley Fool with an email offering me cheap deals on credit cards and how I can save by consolidating my debt.

    As far as NL are concerned, remember the old homo Abe,

    You can fool some of the people all of the time, and you can fool all of the people some of the time, but you can't fool all of the people all of the time. - Abraham "My boy you look sexy in those jodphurs" Lincoln.

  6. #6

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    thunderlizard is too good to be a permie


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    Crash - I hope so! I've been working like a dog for the past five years, so I could really do with a long holiday and a cheap house.

  7. #7

    Still gathering requirements...

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    Have always had a bit the feeling that Browns claim that he's created some sort of economic miracle, no more boom and bust, was possibly built on sand. Especially since his trick of stretching his proclaimed 'economic cycle' to fudge the amount of borrowing he was doing.

    Thing is, if he'd probably kept to his claims of 'prudence' etc, he might have done it and the Govt would be sitting on a huge surplus at this point rather than facing the prospect of increasing taxes in a downturn to cover all the billions he's committed for very little in return.

    GB

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by sunnysan
    I read that article,

    While I was reading it I was spammed by the Motley Fool with an email offering me cheap deals on credit cards and how I can save by consolidating my debt.


    And it is particularly interesting when you read the author's sign-off: "If I've played my cards right, this article will shock you into doing something to strengthen your personal finances, and my cunning plan will have worked!"

    He's on commission?

    Nevertheless, worrying times. For now though, the only ones worrying are the few who can see the wood for the trees.

  9. #9

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    what are you lot doing posting here on a Saturday?

    I have an excuse, I am at work. What's yours?
    Surely you're not coming here from home.... the wife or kids could see you!
    Chico, what time is it?

  10. #10

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    I have complete faith in Tony Blurrrrr.

    It will never happen to us !!

    After all we are British !! Stiff upper lip.

    As far as I know the Labour government have never lied to us

    WC2 in - Complete fecking liar mode
    Throw them to the lions - WC2 5.4

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