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European politicians plot to block UK veto on 'Tobin tax'

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    #21
    Originally posted by Arturo Bassick View Post
    Is the answer Cowabunga?

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      #22
      Originally posted by AtW View Post
      Chart of oil price below



      Can you explain to me how exactly your emerging markets got price of oil to $150, then down to $30 and then back to $120 and now it is going back down again?

      HFT is just an extreme example of where general speculation moved into - not content with f***ing people over once in a while they want to do that frequently.

      Instead of investing money to get cure for cancer or new space engines we have situation where hot money grow bubbles that tax people pockets massively via increased prices.

      All this printed money could go into commodities to make everyones lifes more expensive, or HFT of whatever causes volatility to make money out of pockets of genuine investors OR maybe if they could not do that they'd have to invest into companies that create jobs and products that are actually useful.
      Sorry, where's the proof oil prices going up is the fault of HFT in that chart?

      The oil price historically was comparatively low until the 1973 oil crisis and the 1979 energy crisis when it increased more than tenfold during that six year timeframe. Even though the oil price dropped significantly in the following years, it has never come back to the previous levels. After almost fifteen years of relative stability, the oil price began to increase again during the 2000s until it hit historical heights of $143 per barrel (2007 inflation adjusted dollars) on 30 June 2008.[119] As these prices were well above those that caused the 1973 and 1979 energy crises, they have contributed to fears of an economic recession similar to that of the early 1980s.[12] These fears were not without a basis, since the high oil prices began having an effect on the economies, as, for example, indicated by gasoline consumption drop of 0.5% in the first two months of 2008 in the United States.[120] compared to a drop of .4% total in 2007.[121]
      It is agreed that the main reason for the price spike in 2005-2008 was strong demand pressure. For example, global consumption of oil rose from 30 billion barrels (4.8×109 m3) in 2004 to 31 billion in 2005. The consumption rates were far above new discoveries in the period, which had fallen to only eight billion barrels of new oil reserves in new accumulations in 2004.[122]
      Oil price increases were partially fueled by reports that petroleum production is at[4][5][6] or near full capacity.[8][123][124] In June 2005, OPEC admitted that they would 'struggle' to pump enough oil to meet pricing pressures for the fourth quarter of that year.[125] The decline in the U.S. dollar against other significant currencies from 2007 to 2008 is also cited as a significant reason for the oil price increases,[126] as the dollar lost approximately 14% of its value against the Euro from May 2007 to May 2008.
      Besides supply and demand pressures, at times security related factors may have contributed to increases in prices,[124] including the War on Terror, missile launches in North Korea,[127] the Crisis between Israel and Lebanon,[128] nuclear brinkmanship between the U.S. and Iran,[129] and reports from the U.S. Department of Energy and others showing a decline in petroleum reserves.[130]
      Hang on - there is actually a place called Cheddar?? - cailin maith

      Any forum is a collection of assorted weirdos, cranks and pervs - Board Game Geek

      That will be a simply fab time to catch up for a beer. - Tay

      Have you ever seen somebody lick the chutney spoon in an Indian Restaurant and put it back ? - Cyberghoul

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        #23
        Originally posted by snaw View Post
        Got nowt to do with the rise of emerging markets and increased demands for limited resources (commodities) then
        Which part of emerging market and increased demands for limited resources is reflected in actual oil price chart above? The only explanation of such spikes is speculative activity.

        Comment


          #24
          Originally posted by AtW View Post
          Which part of emerging market and increased demands for limited resources is reflected in actual oil price chart above? The only explanation of such spikes is speculative activity.
          Am I really having to explain this tulip to you?

          So the world isn't consuming more oil, driven primarily by emerging markets, is this your assertion now?

          Go look up China (2/5 of global rise in demand in the last 10 years), India, Brazil etceteras consumption figures for the last 10 years. Go check out oil production per capita, peaked about 20 years ago ... ffs.

          Is that the fault of HFT as well? All that high speed computer gear gobbling up tonnes of energy to shave some microseconds off their transaction time ...
          Hang on - there is actually a place called Cheddar?? - cailin maith

          Any forum is a collection of assorted weirdos, cranks and pervs - Board Game Geek

          That will be a simply fab time to catch up for a beer. - Tay

          Have you ever seen somebody lick the chutney spoon in an Indian Restaurant and put it back ? - Cyberghoul

          Comment


            #25
            Originally posted by snaw View Post
            So the world isn't consuming more oil, driven primarily by emerging markets, is this your assertion now?
            Yes.



            Prices increased at much higher rate than consumption which started dropping even before 2008 - if you look at the chart consumption is at level of early 90s when price of oil was $15 per barrel, where as price now is $100.

            Comment


              #26
              Originally posted by AtW View Post
              Yes.



              Prices increased at much higher rate than consumption which started dropping even before 2008 - if you look at the chart consumption is at level of early 90s when price of oil was $15 per barrel, where as price now is $100.
              Rising consumption vs stagnant production (Falling on a per capita basis for sure - more people in the world these days AtW). Iraq wars, 9/11, weak US dollar, oil being harder to get so more expensive to produce, OPEC supply limitations (They stopped being able to control it through excess production in the mid 2000's).

              Basic supply and demand type tulip AtW, influenced by world geopolitical events. It's not terribly complicated.

              They're all documented reasons for oil price rises, go do some google. Still yet to see you back up your assertions that oil has risen over this period due to High Frequency Trading. That's because you can't.

              Another AtW classic lesson in soviet educated economics.
              Hang on - there is actually a place called Cheddar?? - cailin maith

              Any forum is a collection of assorted weirdos, cranks and pervs - Board Game Geek

              That will be a simply fab time to catch up for a beer. - Tay

              Have you ever seen somebody lick the chutney spoon in an Indian Restaurant and put it back ? - Cyberghoul

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