Originally posted by suityou01
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The risks run quite a wide range.
- There's the chance for civil war if Crimea want full independence and Kiev won't let go.
- What if Crimea vote to rejoin Russia and Kiev says no, Crimeans escalate and Russia steps in "to protect the civilians"?
- Russia decides that the EU / NATO are all talk, so roll into Crimea as they did Georgia. How do EU / NATO respond then? Are they going to keep allowing Russia to do this time after time?
Those are a few things off the top of my head, and all centered around the Crimea. Russia won't be happy if Ukraine as a whole turn back to the EU, but how they work to prevent that is another matter.
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